
Faisal Islam: Iran war is having a dramatic effect on the UK economy
Key Takeaways
- Missile attacks on Iranian oil field trigger domino effects in UK mortgage markets.
- Farmers report red diesel rationing as the economic fallout becomes tangible.
- Homeowners see mortgage offers pulled amid the oil shock-linked market stress.
Immediate economic linkage
There is nothing like being asked to explain to the British public on Nicky Campbell's Five Live show why missile attacks on an Iranian oil field create a domino effect, reverberating in the mortgage markets.
“There is nothing like being asked to explain to the British public on Nicky Campbell's Five Live show why missile attacks on an Iranian oil field create a domino effect, reverberating in the mortgage markets”
BoE stance on rates
I have just emerged from the Bank Of England where I interviewed the governor on behalf of broadcasters.
The bottom line is the Bank did not cut interest rates, as was the clear expectation before the war started.

Inflation will not now fall to the 2% target, as was also expected before the war.
Inflation forecast risk
The Bank's forecasters said inflation could reach 3.5% in the coming months on the basis of Wednesday's oil and gas price.
“There is nothing like being asked to explain to the British public on Nicky Campbell's Five Live show why missile attacks on an Iranian oil field create a domino effect, reverberating in the mortgage markets”
If Thursday's spike in oil and gas prices is sustained it could go much higher.
De-escalation call
No surprise that the governor, and the chancellor, are calling for de-escalation.
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